Stop That Train, I’m Starving: Access to Outside Labor Markets and Rural Living Standards
Show abstract
I exploit the abrupt closure of rural rail stations after Côte d’Ivoire’s 2011 post-presidentialelection crisis to study how losing access to outside labor markets affects rural living standards. Using nationally representative microdata, I find sizable declines in per-capita spending and consumption in rural areas exposed to rail closures relative to nearby controls. These declines coincide with a labor reallocation from higher-paying nonfarm employment into contributing-family work. I rationalize these patterns using a Roy model with heterogeneous nonfarm returns and sectoral mobility costs. The estimated nonfarm returns reveal strong heterogeneity, implying that similar transport investments can generate different welfare outcomes depending on which workers gain access to nonfarm jobs. Counterfactual simulations show that spatially targeted reopenings of a subset of rural rail stations are economically effective as they can achieve nearly the same welfare gains as full network restoration. These findings help inform infrastructure policy when budget constraints limit expansion.